Iran’s provision of drones to Moscow supports the murder of Ukrainains, says President’s Office

I believe 200 Iranian students who were arrested on this day were deported to Iran. Police came in with helicopters and  on horses, batons and tear gas. Chaos was ensued, and a lot of students were injured and the cabs in DC were taken over by the students, to take the injured to hospitals. The rest is history.

One of the most important factor, at the time of revolution, was oil workers stopped working, depriving the shah of revenues to pay the government workers and military. The next factor was air force personnel took the side of people!

Shah could have listened to Zbigniew Brzezinski, of Carter admin,  in breaking through the street fight at any cost. He either refused to do so on his own, or was advised to leave the country, by other American backers of the regime. A review of the news of the era testifies to that effect.

Friends this is my take on the situation compared to 1357:
- Today, it is more deeply entrenched in the society (% of participants and people wanting change is higher)
- In 57, the economy and peoples standard of living was much higher and the economy was growing. Now many people cannot put food on the table.
- In 57, the main issue was political freedom and for the masses it was religion (anti-westernization movement). Today, it is personal and political freedom and anti-religion (the exact opposite: majority don't want religious government)
- Government corruption and lying: 57: limited to few in royal court; today: it is expanded to a larger group who have no impunity
- Communication: 57: no social media, it was easy for regime to put an effective false narrative out there. Today: mass media and social platforms have made everyone aware of the lies and deceit.
- In 57, it was basically Tehran and today it is Iran that has risen.
- In 57, US neutralized the army and shah knew the end was near so he left. Today, the mullah's may know the end is near and they have no morals nor friends to run to once out of power but will kill and take everyone down with them.
- The spark in 57 was due to some serial event in east of Tehran: Meydoone Jaleh massacre by Royal Guard. -> Airforce Homafar's in Dushan Tapeh went into jubilation (when Khomeini was shown on TV) with commander ordering arrests (I heard executions but I am not sure), That sent Airforce and Army into a state of disfunction due to internal mutiny. -> Shortly after the news of executions in Doshan Tapeh got on the street. people stormed Taslihat on Niroo Havaei blvd and the cadets and soldiers let people in and take all of the arms. All of these locations are walking distance from each other. It put the people iin advantage.
- In 57, the opposition found a leader with long track record of being actively against the regime who had religous following. Today, we have no such person. Reza Pahlavi is not it. You cannot claim being a voice of opposition by leaving on wealth stolen and sending sound bytes once in a while and not having a formal position, job or responsibility for your whole life. The monarch system is dead in 21st century. My hope is that a credible opposition leader would emerge from inside.
- The vastness of the present uprising if it continues will be a big challenge for the regime. They will have deserters who were there just for the paycheck and don't want to put the lives on the line since they are there for the privileges and not the ideology (believe me I know few of them back home who have been boycotted by the family). Cracks will appear from within and they won't be able to keep moving them around from city to city to put down activities. The fatigue will set in and the GREAT ESCAPE will begin at the top and trickle down, At least that is what I predict and hope for.

I hope it is over soon without too much bloodshed and our people get the freedom and future they deserve and they can only shape. The population today is mostly young and very wise and I am certain they will avoid the mistakes of the past.

JAVID IRAN