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Comments: Shahryar, like Faramarz says another "dim" withed moron by the name of Hitler started WWII. It is always these morons that start these things. We now have one running the world's biggest economy. If this was not bad enough, he is under full control of a criminal. And, has found another blood thirsty partner in Zelinsky. N finally Europe always wants to be a leach n willing to start war if that is threatened. So, watch out world. This is the perfect storm. I think the scenario Faramarz explained is likely. If I were Iran, I would not retaliate against Ukraine for two reasons. First, it risks a global conflict beyond imagination. N second Iran is already winning this war. Why change the parameters? But everyone in the west and even the Russians want Iran to get involved in the other war too.
Comments: https://x.com/reuters/status/2082107558811271229 Ali Vaez, Iran project director at the International Crisis Group, a conflict-prevention organization, said that after meeting Reza Pahlavi 15 years ago, he concluded he lacked the appetite for the political rough-and-tumble needed to lead change in Iran, and nothing since has changed his view.
Comments: Should’ve sold INTC once they hit $100. They are truly a shit company
Comments: Reza, I agree that Iran should retaliate against Ukraine's killing of one of his sailors. Although this has "Trap" written all over it. They are trying to add a new front for Iran to fight and bring in Russia more openly into this conflict. The "Wild Card" is China, which I do not believe will EVER get engaged in this war, certainly not openly and obviously, perhaps only in the background and as a shadow player.
Comments: As frightening the prospect of World War is, I think it is becoming more of a reality. Faramarz's scenarios below (both short and mid-terms), are very close to reality. Trump is not a thinking person, and is more of a reactionary person. The moment Iran makes a retaliatory move, he responds quickly without thinking (knee-jerk reaction). This is a situation that calls for deep critical thinking capabilities that Trump administration lacks profoundly. Trump basically surrounded himself with "Yes Men" and incompetence, so he can look good in front of them. None of them have the ability to rescue him from this disaster or even dare to offer an alternate solution. This looks pretty bad and I agree that Iran should not stop fighting until he knows he can get the best deal possible. As I mentioned below, Iran has never been in a better bargaining position that they are in now; time to take advantage of it. The only option on the table for the US and Israel still on the table is the nuclear option. That would be unimaginable but not that far-fetched from either of the two leaders. They are probably talking about this position as I write this, since Bibi is in Washington along with Ukraine's president.
Comments: Shahryar I think Russia will use this to involve Iran in Ukraine war either indirectly (using Iranian drones, missiles) or directly by Iran retaliating n expanding the pressure on Ukraine.
Comments: Shahryar :) As funny as that sounds, like you said it isactually whta they are doing. Shows the sad reality of how dim one side is.
Comments: In this picture, the strongest prevention of the long-lasting poly-nation war is what you mentioned, the economy. US and the world will not last a blockade of two important waterways.
Comments: Iran has nothing to loose further. It has been attacked twice. Bombed and now is starting to fight back. I agree
Comments: And, US of A is already out of ammo. It is fast becoming a paper tiger. If shit hits the fan, US and Israel will muddy the waters to make UK, Germany, and France join in. By linking the Ukrain war in which UK, France, and Germany are already involved, the three will eventually take on Russia, Iran, and North Korea. This is when China will come in. They already had a scrimmage with Indonesia (I think) a few days ago. China will occupy Taiwan and beyond. This is how I see things in the long run. In this situation, then it will come down to manufacturing. My money is on Chinese manufacturing over the three UK/France/Germany. USA has nothing other than making some trophy weapons. Manufacturing of China+Iran probably will win. But in the short run, the three europeans are out. USA is out of ammo. Iran is loaded and so is Russia. They wont even need the Chinese to come in. This is why it is foolish for Iran to stop the war now and allow Trump and yAboo to drag this out until the three european countries come in. I would continue tight blockade making every ship pay to go through. USA can either live with it or start the war again. Both option would be better than sitting and waiting for war to flair up again. Just my dozAri.
Comments: Reza, I agree with you regarding over-playing their hands. Why do you think Russia has NOT hit Ukraine's supply lines already? I thought that was already fair game.
Comments: In any other situation, I would’ve given the upper hand to US side but with tRump in front n Bibi in the bkgrnd, if I was a betting man, would bet on the Bear this time. Putin is very patient n calculating, he can bring China in or string em along and that alone changes the equilibrium of this equation. US can’t afford an oil crisis along with indefinite military action. It’s an economical suicide
Comments: And so will Iran. Alliances are forming. From one side, it is USA-Israel-Ukraine and on the other side is Russia-North Korea-Iran. China might be joining in soon too.
Comments: Lol, Faramarz :) Your lollipop analaogy is spot on!!!
Comments: The Israelis have over played their hand by asking Ukraine to jump in. I think this is only going to work out for the big bear. They will now have all the excuses to hit Ukraine supply lines.
Comments: I agree. The plan that Oman is offering for a voluntary fee is so ridiculous. It is like offering a lollipop to a kid to quite him down!
Comments: US and the the West is getting so desperate to take away Iran's rights to Strait of Hormuz. They have ran out of bombs (very close to it), as well as ran out of interceptors. Iran is in a prime condition now to push for their agenda fully. They have never had more leverage than now..., NEVER!!! There is no reason for anyone to believe what Trump and US say and agree on..., they already admitted that their so-called MOU was a delay tactic to get more weapons in place to attack IRAN. Whatever deal US tries to make, their intention is to break it a few weeks, or months or years down the road. Iran has to get what they want (more than what they want), now, when they can.
Comments: Gulf-backed Oman plan would let Iran collect 'voluntary fees' in Hormuz, sources say Proposal would deny Tehran sole control of the strategic waterway while allowing optional payments modeled on the Strait of Malacca, as Trump threatens renewed strikes if diplomacy fails
Comments: Iran took out a US drone over Iraqi airspace- the details are yet to emerge but it’s now verified that US lost a drone as it crashed into a residential area in Iraq https://x.com/dropsitenews/status/2081762826511679735 |
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