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65,535 Entries
Faramarz 
03/19/22

Comments:
The price of gas here in the US and oil in the global markets are mostly the combination of gouging and anxiety about the worst case scenario. Iran does have a ton stored ready to ship. But what the Biden administration and the world needs is its psychological impact rather than how much supply actually improves as a result. So, once announced, in the world markets they will hype up the Iranian reserves to calm the fears. Bu here in the US I am not sure how much Biden will decide to hype since the republicans will abuse his relationship with Iran anyway they can.


Zinsky  
03/19/22

Comments:
We might be talking about slightly different things. I’m not talking about $$$$ per say. I’m talking about making stuff legal and widely available. Not sure if that will happen. Government might not let it but just like drugs and alcohol in this country, when not illegal and controlled by a small group, prices will stabilize.
Once again, I’m not sure if that will happen but it won’t happen for sure under sanctions.


Ali 
03/19/22

Comments:

And that is my point Zinsky. You are not dealing with a government that works under the law of 2+2=4.  Prime example of it is the WSJ report. Those Billions of dollars did not go to Central bank.  That money should have routed to central bank because government owes so much to Central Bank. But we don’t know where it went. Central Bank has gun pointed at his head to do whatever elite mafia ask them to do.  Central Bank printed so much money, so much that in the first two years of sanction relief, what ever dollar the government makes should go to what was borrowed fromCentral bank. So the value of dollar or inflation is data based and through simple math.  in the past 3 months the value of dollar declined 20% but yet still the value of Kala In Iran went up 20%.  Totally in a different direction. The other thing that we have to take into consideration is this (طرح صیانت) which will creat a big shock to IRI’s financial system. It will essentially limits / removes the trading channels and will give the control of these trading channels to Elite Mafia entities. 

What is important for Iran economy is not decline in dollar value, what is most important is sobat or stability of the dollar. Navasan in dollar value takes away investment planning and will force investors to assume a very conservative value of dollar (high). 

Here is the excerpts from the latest Bank Markazi assessment which economically makes total sense:

اگرچه رفع تحریم‌ها ورود ارز به کشور را تسهیل می‌کند اما باید توجه داشت حتی با فرض رفع تحریم‌ها با توجه به آنکه دلار در بودجه سال آینده ۲۳ هزارتومان پیش‌بینی شده، نمی‌توان تصور کرد دلار در بازار آزاد قرار است به این نرخ نزدیک شود. او اضافه کرد: با توجه به آنکه دولت از کاهش نرخ ارز، بیش از آنچه در بودجه پیش‌بینی شده متضرر خواهد شد، بنابراین اجازه افت بیش از اندازه دلار را نخواهد داد و اگر هم در مقطعی دلار افت کند، تقاضا در بازار ارز آنقدر افزایش خواهد یافت که دوباره قیمت‌ها به سطوح بالاتر بازمی‌گردد. در چند سال گذشته به سبب تحریم‌ها، با معضلی به نام ناترازی ارزی مواجه شده‌ایم علاوه بر این در دوران تحریم، شرکت‌ها برای اجرای طرح‌های توسعه‌ای ناتمام و تجهیز ماشین آلات و ورود مواداولیه و... با محدودیت‌هایی مواجه بوده‌اند و درصورت رفع تحریم این فرصت را خواهند داشت که برای نوسازی خطوط تولید اقدام کنند. این موضوع تقاضای بازار ارز را افزایش خواهد داد. با این تفاسیر، درصورت رفع تحریم‌ها و تسهیل ورود ارز به کشور، مصارف ارزی نیز افزایش خواهد یافت

And then add to this FATF challenge.

what does all of this means?  Iran will have no choice but to trade with USA only in dollar. And that is what we are seeing happening in the world between China (Taiwan), Russia (Ukraine), and USA (Iran). To pave the way to this essential marriage is removal of IRGC from the terrorist list.  That is where the behind the door negotiation is all about because IRI’s economy is under IRGC and not under Central Bank monetary policies.  To remove IRGC from this list hinges on one thing and that is eliminating IRGC’s role in Yemen, Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon. And looks like IRGC is moving towards complying with this ask. 


Zinsky  
03/19/22

Comments:
Sanctions were a great excuse for the top a-holes in Iran to raise the price of everything since they knew how to get them and they were/controlling all imports.
If/when sanctions are over, and reality free flow of stuff starts, these people can’t solely control the flow.
I personally know few people who became Uber rich by importing everything (illegally, of course) and cornered the market. I was in Iran few months back. There is almost nothing you can’t find if you are willing to pay for it. Sanctions didn’t stop the flow just made few elite people to become sole source for them.


Ali  
03/19/22

Comments:

I do not believe Keefer said anything bad about Kurds but I don’t think any sane person other than those in Iran who sell pieces of the country at any price would say something like that.  But in general I do see the tendency by some to look the other way when it comes to regime brutality, theft, and oppression.  I noticed that in Keefer and that is wrong and nullifies their credibility.  That is why credible people like Chomsky they don’t compromise on their values or principle. They condemn any brutality be it by Trump or Biden, Putin, Xi, North Korda, or Iran. That value never changes.  

Now other than the rants by New Dude, one thing he posted I believe got lost in the messages and the source of the messages was from WSJ and that should be alarming for all of us, the people of Iran, and that is that Iran was able to go around the sanction obstacles and actually were making Billions of dollars In the past 3 years. But unfortunately none of it went to people. Inflation went to the roof, people struggling making daily needs,  and the value of dollar got to 30,000 toman.  That goes back to the reality which people of Iran attest to that people won’t benefit from the sanctions relief and people are last to benefit from it which is the main disease with this regime. Yes under this regime the noble people of Iran come last.  And if you are a true intellect and if you are a true humanitarian and if you are a true patriot, not only you you cannot look the other way, but as a true patriot, as a true Iran Parast, you should condemn such move by this anti Iranian people nature of the regime. Dollar manipulation is still on going, just like in 2015 and then after the agreement we will see that it will approach towards high 30Ks solely because of inflation. My advice to everyone, when it comes to Iran, remember, people come first. 


https://www.wsj.com/articles/clandestine-finance-system-helped-iran-withstand-sanctions-crush-documents-show-11647609741


Zinsky  
03/19/22

Comments:
I read somewhere that Iran has stored millions of barrels of oil ready for shipment. I’m not sure how much and how easy is it to be in Europe but they need it badly.


keefer 
03/19/22

Comments:
[video]https://youtu.be/1B7SrHRmzIg[/video]


Keefer 
03/19/22

Comments:
Zinsk, distribution will not be as immediate as we think. It'll take time due to some complicated issues that are not as clear to us. Let's hope for the betterment of people's livelyhood.


keefer 
03/19/22

Comments:
Zinsk, I agree. 


Zinsky  
03/19/22

Comments:
It would be more than $100 billion a year if they can sell it in open market. Nearly $1,500/population/year. Of course how much of it will be expenses and bekhor bekhor, we don’t know…


Keefer 
03/19/22

Comments:
Iran is taking out 3.5 mil barrales of oil per day. 2.5 mil for refineries and 1.5 mil for export..


Zinsky  
03/19/22

Comments:
Conflicting news from TM. On one hand, there is news that Covid could delay the game but on the other hand, they had a mini training camp earlier today and plan to leave for Korea later today!!!


Zinsky  
03/19/22

Comments:
TEHRAN, Iran national football team will travel to Seoul, South Korea on Saturday.
Team Melli is scheduled to meet the Korean team on March 24 in Group A of the 2022 FIFA World Cup qualification.
The top two teams from each of the two groups in this round will earn automatic berths. Iran and South Korea have already qualified for the 2022 World Cup.
Facing Iran has been a challenge for South Korea for years. Paulo Bento’s team’s last victory against Iran came in January 2011. In their most recent meeting, held in Tehran in October, the teams ended in a 1-1 draw, with South Korea blowing a 1-0 lead in the second half.


keefer 
03/19/22

Comments:

Tasnim – TEHRAN, Iran national football team head coach Dragan Skocic left Tehran on Wednesday following the cancellation of Team Melli’s training camp.

FIFA and AFC have postponed upcoming Asian qualifiers for the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 in mid-March due to coronavirus concerns.

The outbreak of COVID-19 has caused sports events to be suspended or postponed in Asia and Europe, including both domestic and international events.

The Team Melli’s training camp was due to be held starting from March 18 in Tehran but Skocic left Tehran after the cancellation of the camp.


keefer 
03/19/22

Comments:
The virtual exhibition of repatriated of Boukan glaze brick collection

پنجاه و یک قطعه آجر لعابدار سه‌هزارساله بازمانده از تمدن مانایی، که از سوئیس استرداد داده شده است، همزمان با نمایشگاهی که موزه ملی ایران این روزها برای آن برپا کرده، به صورت "مجازی" نیز به نمایش گذاشته شده است.
 


keefer 
03/19/22

Comments:


طرف آمریکایی و هم طرف ایرانی 
، هر دو به جمع‌بندی رسیده‌اند که برجام جدید ممکن است عمر زیادی نداشته باشد و با 
تغییر دولت در آمریکا این توافق با تهدیدات جدی مواجه شود. از طرف دیگر، سفر حسین امیرعبداللهیان، به مسکو و رسیدن به توافق با روسیه، مسکو را به این نتیجه رساند که مخالفت جدی با احیای برجام نداشته باشد و در واقع مسکو احیای برجام را فرصتی برای خود در نظام بین‌الملل در حال ظهور می‌داند.


Zinsky  
03/19/22

Comments:
Iran nuclear deal ‘could be agreed within 48 hours’
Lifting of sanctions on Tehran would allow resumption of oil exports, easing pressure on energy prices


Keefer 
03/18/22

Comments:
The Euro poodles are really full of themselves. I think the US has allowed them to think so.
Xi Jinping’s Faltering Foreign Policy
The War in Ukraine and the Perils of Strongman Rule
By Jude Blanchette
March 16, 2022
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, February 2022
Aleksey Druzhinin / Reuters
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https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2022-03-16/xi-jinpings-faltering-foreign-policy
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Regardless of whether Beijing had advance warning of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s decision to issue a statement last month outlining a “no limits” partnership with Moscow was arguably the single biggest foreign policy blunder of his nearly ten years in power. Russian President Vladimir Putin will receive the overwhelming share of the blowback for his unprovoked assault on Ukraine, but Xi’s public declaration, coupled with Beijing’s continued diplomatic support for Moscow, has undermined China’s reputation and provoked renewed concerns over its global ambitions. Indeed, the intensifying war in Ukraine has already prompted calls for Taiwan to improve its defense capabilities and has given security partnerships such as NATO, the Quad, and AUKUS a renewed sense of


keefer 
03/18/22

Comments:

تیم‌ملی قرنطینه شد/ دیدار بازیکنان استقلال و پرسپولیس در اردوی ایران

تیم‌ملی قرنطینه شد/ دیدار بازیکنان استقلال و پرسپولیس در اردوی ایران

بازیکنان تیم ملی فوتبال ایران ساعاتی پیش وارد اردو شدند و پس از انجام تست کرونا، در اتاق‌های‌شان قرنطینه شدند.

به گزارش ایسنا، ۱۳ بازیکن تیم ملی ظهر امروز (جمعه ۲۷ اسفندماه) خود را به کادر فنی تیم ملی معرفی کردند و سپس از بازیکنان و اعضای کادر تست پی سی آر گرفته شد و تا اعلام نتایج، بازیکنان در قرنطینه خواهند بود. 

هم‌چنین ملی پوشان روز شنبه ۲۸ اسفندماه یک تمرین سبک را در مرکز ملی فوتبال زیر نظر اسکوچیچ برگزار می‌کنند و فردا شب به مقصد سئول تهران را ترک خواهند کرد.

١٥ لژیونر در پایان بازی‌های باشگاهی از کشورهای مختلف جهان مستقیما راهی کره جنوبی خواهند شد و به اردوی تیم ملی ملحق می‌شوند.

این روزها کره‌جنوبی یکی از سخترین دوران مبارزه با کرونا را سپری می‌کند و شیوع این بیماری در کره رکودشکنی می‌کند و به همین دلیل باید اعضای تیم ملی در کره‌جنوبی به شدت پروتکل‌های بهداشتی را رعایت کنند تا گرفتار کرونا نشوند.

شاگردان اسکوچیچ چهارم فروردین در سئول به مصاف تیم میزبان خواهند رفت و نهم فروردین در آخرین مسابقه این مرحله در مشهد مقدس برابر لبنان قرار می گیرند.

حمید استیلی، مدیر تیم ملی فوتبال ایران در اولین اردوی این تیم حضور داشت. اسکوچیچ هم از بازیکنان خود استقبال کرد. دیدار بازیکنان استقلال و پرسپولیس یک روز بعد از داربی جنجالی تهران، از نکات بارز امروز بود. 

انتهای پیام


Rahim Kamanchi  
03/18/22

Comments:
احمدی نژاد : به «ملک عبدالله» گفتم غنی سازی صنعتی ایران متعلق به شماست
دولت بهار نوشت : احمدی نژاد گغت : وقتی ایران به غنی سازی صنعتی دسترسی پیدا کرد، اولین کسی که من به او اطلاع دادم، ملک عبدالله بود که خدا از او راضی باشد
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