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Comments: Faramarz, It’s going to snow tomorrow!
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Comments: Zinsky, I am much closer to you in the next few days. I am at Saranac Lake NY for a meeting. They still have lots of snow. Seeing this coming from a place that has had 90+ degree weather for the past 10 days is something else. enjoying every day of it.
Comments: Just tracked a highly suspicious group of 10 Polymarket wallets They're trying to stay under the radar by splitting into small positions, but I caught their pattern - All in on YES for US x Iran ceasefire by Mar 31/Apr 15 - $7K to $24K in positions per wallet - 99% of positions were bought with market orders - Combined size: $160K - Payout if a ceasefire hits by EOM: +$1.04M 2 of these exact wallets previously bet YES on the US striking Iran before Feb 28 and cashed out $135k This accumulation is still happening as of today Someone is building a massive position under the radar Hard to believe these are just random users
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Comments: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-tMm1tKKebA
Comments: Trump's threat and ultimatum to hit Iran's power grids is his typical bluffing. Iran has said that the Hormuz is not 'closed' but no ships can not enter it without Iran's approval. In this poker game Iran is now holding pocket aces and will call any bluff that Trump makes. Of course the result always depenes on the turn cards but anyone with hold'em experience knows that when you have pocket aces your chances of winning the pot is more than 90%. And Iran is not going to spare any infrastructure on the other side of the Persian Gulf if Trump goes all in. The end result will not open the Horumz but will drive up oil prices to the predicted $200/barrel.
Comments: As the war entered it's 4th week it was becoming evident that Israel was running out of anti-missile ammunition. They started moving more of what they have left to large cities lilke Tel Aviv and Haifa from smaller towns. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jqrC5b0OZe4
Comments: For years we were told IRI is weeks away from the bomb. They were a massive threat to Israel and the entire region. Now, we are told that they have nothing left. Both accounts are bullshit. They were never that close to the bomb and they still have enough power to hit anyone they want, as they did today. Two of their most advanced rockets hit Israel near a nuclear power plant and research facilities. The air defense was useless.
Comments: Based on both Trump and Yaboo, IRI has no path to nuclear bomb for years and not capable of making new rockets for a long time. They have no navy, no air force or any real military capability. If all true, there is no excuse to fight them anymore but there is no sign of war ending soon. I think Israel is running out of excuses to drag US and anyone else into this war but still they will. Even if we believe that IRI is finished militarily and are not a threat to Israel and the surrounding region, they remain in power which is not good enough for Israel. Trump can’t simply withdraw and leave Israel to finish the job.
Comments: Ever since President Trump began what he now delicately calls his “excursion” into Iran, Washington has been consumed by the question of when he would call it a day — even if many of his war goals remain unaccomplished. On Friday evening, as he headed to Florida, Mr. Trump seemed to be designing that much-discussed exit. But he clearly has not yet decided whether to take it. And there is mounting evidence — average gas price approaching $4 a gallon, infrastructure in ruins across the Persian Gulf, a decimated Iranian theocracy digging in and American allies at first rebuffing and now struggling with demands to patrol hostile waters — that the repercussions of Mr. Trump’s excursion may outlast his interest in it. As always, Mr. Trump’s messaging is inconsistent, which his critics cite as evidence that he entered this conflict with no strategy and his followers cheer as strategic ambiguity. With thousands of additional marines headed to the region and the pace of American and Israeli attacks quickening, Mr. Trump told reporters on Friday he had no interest in a cease-fire because the United States was “obliterating” Iran’s missile stocks, navy, air force and defense industrial base.
Comments: https://x.com/mb_ghalibaf/status/2035454933084889523
Comments: It seems the desperation is setting in. IRI doesn’t have any options other than drag this as much as possible to avoid another attack in few months if this war ends. Trump is in a pickle and realizes what most told him. This war will not help HIM! Israel can’t allow this war to end without complete destruction of Iran. Where do we go from here? I’m afraid it won’t be easy for most Iranians back home. It will be much harder for them with the regime wounded but in tact. This will make the regime even more dangerous and people less happy. Unfortunately, that was a predictable outcome even though most were fighting the reality.
Comments: LOL @ Trump again ![]() https://www.instagram.com/reels/DWKOLROjEkE/
Comments: LOL @ Trump ![]()
Comments: Trump threatens Iran with further attacks if Hormuz does not reopen within 48 hours Donald Trump has posted this on Truth Social in the past few minutes: “If Iran doesn’t FULLY OPEN, WITHOUT THREAT, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 HOURS from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST! Thank you for your attention to this matter.” Iran threatens retaliation against US energy infrastructure if its facilities are attacked Iran’s Armed Forces Unified Combatant has warned that if Iran’s fuel and energy infrastructure is attacked, all energy infrastructures belonging to the US in the region will be targeted, according to Iranian media. This follows an earlier threat by Trump that the US will “obliterate” Iranian power plants if Tehran doesn’t fully open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours. More than 1,000 cargo ships, mainly oil and gas tankers, have been blocked from transiting the strait since the war began, prompting an escalating energy crisis. The strait is the only maritime passage out of the Gulf and the route for about a quarter of the world’s liquefied natural gas and seaborne trade. Shipping is confined to a pair of two-mile-wide lanes, one for outbound traffic and one for incoming, separated by a two-mile-wide meridian.
Comments: Happy New Persian Year to all. The new 35 player TM list is out for travel to Antalya to play Nigeria and Costa Rica. The donestic players left today on a bus to Turkey! Azmoun is not invited since he posted a picture of himslef with the UAE ruler. Instead Dennis Eckert a German player has been invited for the first time. He is the least Iranian ever to be ever invited. His Iranian claim is because his grandpa had a German wife/girlfried back in the day ![]() علیرضا بیرانوند، سید حسین حسینی، پیام نیازمند، محمد خلیفه، علی نعمتی، حسین ابرقویی، شجاع خلیلزاده، سامان فلاح، محمدحسین کنعانیزادگان، دانیال ایری، احسان حاج صفی، میلاد محمدی، ابوالفضل جلالی، صالح حردانی، رامین رضاییان، دانیال اسماعیلیفر، سعید عزتاللهی، محمد قربانی، امید نورافکن، سامان قدوس، امیرمحمد رزاقنیا، محمد محبی، مهدی قایدی، مهدی ترابی، هادی حبیبینژاد، مهدی طارمی، امیرحسین محمودی، علیرضا جهانبخش، علی قلیزاده، مهدی هاشمنژاد، علی علیپور، شهریار مغانلو، احسان محروقی، امیرحسین حسینزاده و دنیس اکرت
Comments: نیروی هوافضای سپاه پاسداران: از این لحظه تسلط کامل بر آسمان صهیون را اعلام میکنیم
Comments: Good analysis https://youtu.be/kt07HqyZXm0 |
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